The International Development Group released their report on consoles sales up until 2010 with some VERY surprising results.
The group says that in the end, Microsoft will sell the most with about 23.9 million units. Sony will come in 2nd with about 23.5 million units. And to the surprise of many, the group predicted that Nintendo's affordable Wii console will come in last with only a pitiful 13.6 million consoles.
This is despite somewhat mixed reviews from early reviewers such as IGN who have said to prefer the 360 over the PS3. As well as the high price point for Sony's Playstation 3, and the low $249 price tag on the Wii.
You may be asking, "How could the PS3 sell more units than the Wii?" Well, most early Wii adapters who do not own another next-gen console will later end up purchasing either a Xbox 360 or a Playstation 3. For gamers who want to pay less money, and have an intuitive online service, buyers will get the Xbox 360. But it will only be a matter of time before Sony lowers the price on the Playstation 3. Once this happens, the 360's major competitor will be Sony, with Nintendo being in a market of their own.
"But won't most gamers get a Wii, as well as another console?" Yes, most buyers who pick up one of the two higher-end models will consider getting a Wii. Strangely, this study does not include this piece of data, making us here at GoNext seem skeptical about how accurate this study is. They really don't give a reason at all of why the Wii sold the least.
We should include the fact that this data is only for North America, and only up until 2010. The 360 will have a hard time getting any market share in Japan, but the upcoming title, Blue Dragon, should help Microsoft make some headway. Nintendo and Sony will still remain the two elite companies in Japan.